Massa crece, mientras que Milei empieza a tocar su techo
A pocos días de vencer el plazo para la inscripción de alianzas electorales, Juntos por el Cambio se encuentra en el momento más crítico de su historia. La escalada de la descarnada batalla interna genera reales chances de quiebre en la alianza opositora. Rodríguez Larreta ya tendría todo preparado para la inscripción de un nuevo espacio.
Finalmente venció el plazo para la inscripción de las alianzas electorales que competirán en las PASO del próximo 13 de agosto. El Frente de Todos recurrió al refresh y pasará a denominarse Unidos por la Patria. Por su parte, Juntos por el Cambio ratificó su denominación, pero no logra calmar el altísimo nivel de confrontación interna. Cerradas las puertas al gobernador de Córdoba Juan Schiaretti, las diferencias entre el sector más moderado que encabeza Rodríguez Larreta y la línea más radicalizada encarnada por Bullrich se hacen notar con mayor nitidez.
En este contexto, las disputas entre los halcones y palomas de la alianza opositora parecen no tener freno. Al menos así lo manifestó la ex ministra de seguridad y pre candidata más afín a Mauricio Macri. En un reciente spot, en el que se la ve abordo de un auto de carrera en una pista acelera sin parar mientras se escucha la voz en off del gobernador jujeño Gerardo Morales invitándola a “bajar un cambio”.
Hace unos días, el periodista Leandro Renou informó sobre una charla que mantuvo un importante empresario con Mauricio Macri en donde le manifestó la principal preocupación que aqueja a gran parte del establishment y que gira en torno a cuándo terminará la durísima batalla interna de cambiemita. El ex presidente le contestó: “terminará donde tenga que terminar, pero Juntos por el Cambio no va a bailar al ritmo de Horacio. Yo no me fui”.
Es sabido que en el mundo de los CEOs la mayoría simpatiza con el jefe de gobierno porteño y tienen en claro que lo de Macri con él es una cuestión personal, porque se separó, rompió el vínculo y lo desconoció como su mentor político. Asi como también saben que Macri es despiadado en las relaciones, y este quiebre con Larreta no sólo que no tiene vuelta atrás sino que condiciona las futuras gestiones para llevar adelante un hipotético gobierno en el caso de que la alianza triunfe en las elecciones presidenciales.
El empresariado nacional se encuentra inmerso en un mar de confusiones y está en la búsqueda de señales. En este contexto, quien comienza a despejar dudas en la vereda de enfrente es Sergio Massa, otro de los políticos predilectos del sector.
El pasado fin de semana se llevó a cabo el congreso nacional del Frente Renovador, el espacio creado en 2013 y liderado por el ministro de economía, en el estadio Arenas del partido de Malvinas Argentinas. Allí Massa aseguró que si la fuerza oficialista decidía ir a unas PASO, su espacio iba a competir. De esta forma, el tigrense puso fin a las dudas respecto a su postulación.
El termómetro de la opinión pública.
En un escenario tan cambiante, las encuestas reflejan cierta volatilidad de la ciudadanía que responden al clima de incertidumbre e indefinición que atraviesa a la previa de las PASO.
En este contexto, se produce una reconfiguración prácticamente diaria que da cuenta de la existencia de un sector del electorado que aún no ha determinado fehacientemente por quien se inclinará finalmente en las urnas el próximo 13 de agosto cuando se celebren las Primarias Abiertas Simultáneas y Obligatorias.
Las distintas mediciones que se vienen llevando a cabo esta semana, son coincidentes en reflejar un marcado crecimiento de Sergio Massa luego del congreso celebrado por su espacio el pasado fin de semana.
Ante la posibilidad de una eventual fórmula Massa – De Pedro, ésta se erige como la ganadora en una hipotética interna frente a Daniel Scioli que viene presentando muchos problemas, sobre todo económicos y territoriales, para mantener su postulación.
Por su parte, en el tumultuoso escenario interno de Juntos por el Cambio existentes mediciones que dan victorioso tanto a Larreta como a Bullrich, por lo que se descuenta que será una interna muy reñida y se definirá por escaso margen. El dato a tener en cuenta es que predominan las encuestas que dan ganadora a la ex ministra de seguridad.
En un escenario proyectado sobre las generales de octubre, el binomio encabezado por el tigrense se posiciona en primer lugar seguido por el economista liberal Javier Milei en segundo lugar.
Respecto a Milei, las mediciones son coincidentes al sostener que ha llegado a un techo que produce consecuentemente un estancamiento de la curva de crecimiento del libertario. Esta situación viene generando gran preocupación en el búnker del polémico pre candidato de La Libertad Avanza, que suma a sus problemas de armado la deserción de Guillermo Britos que era un número puesto para pelear la gobernación de la provincia de Buenos Aires en representación del espacio.
En tercer lugar, figura Juntos por el Cambio con Patricia Bullrich que, como dijimos, en un mano a mano muy reñido con Rodríguez Larreta finalmente saldría victoriosa de la interna cambiemita.
En un escenario de tres tercios de cara a las PASO, el dato de la semana pasa por el crecimiento de Massa y el estancamiento de Milei que parece haber alcanzado tu techo.
(*) Abogado. Diplomado en Manejo de Crisis y en Análisis de Procesos Electorales. Especializado en Comunicación de Gobierno y Electoral.
I like this site its a master peace ! Glad I noticed this on google .
Of course, what a magnificent blog and instructive posts, I surely will bookmark your blog.All the Best!
Lovely just what I was searching for.Thanks to the author for taking his time on this one.
Nice post. I learn something more challenging on different blogs everyday. It will always be stimulating to read content from other writers and practice a little something from their store. I’d prefer to use some with the content on my blog whether you don’t mind. Natually I’ll give you a link on your web blog. Thanks for sharing.
Greetings! Very helpful advice on this article! It is the little changes that make the biggest changes. Thanks a lot for sharing!
You made some clear points there. I did a search on the subject and found most individuals will consent with your website.
Great beat ! I wish to apprentice even as you amend your website, how can i subscribe for a blog site? The account helped me a applicable deal. I were a little bit acquainted of this your broadcast provided vivid transparent idea
Excellent read, I just passed this onto a friend who was doing some research on that. And he actually bought me lunch since I found it for him smile So let me rephrase that: Thanks for lunch! «There are places and moments in which one is so completely alone that one sees the world entire.» by Jules Renard.
I like what you guys are up also. Such smart work and reporting! Carry on the superb works guys I’ve incorporated you guys to my blogroll. I think it will improve the value of my website :).
Can I simply say what a reduction to find somebody who actually knows what theyre talking about on the internet. You positively know how to carry a problem to mild and make it important. More folks need to read this and understand this side of the story. I cant imagine youre no more in style because you definitely have the gift.
Good – I should definitely pronounce, impressed with your site. I had no trouble navigating through all the tabs as well as related information ended up being truly easy to do to access. I recently found what I hoped for before you know it at all. Quite unusual. Is likely to appreciate it for those who add forums or anything, site theme . a tones way for your client to communicate. Excellent task.
I gotta bookmark this website it seems very beneficial handy
I love the efforts you have put in this, appreciate it for all the great blog posts.
Thanks a bunch for sharing this with all of us you actually recognize what you are talking approximately! Bookmarked. Kindly also visit my website =). We will have a link change agreement between us!
But wanna comment that you have a very nice site, I like the layout it actually stands out.
Great post. I am facing a couple of these problems.
Woah! I’m really enjoying the template/theme of this blog. It’s simple, yet effective. A lot of times it’s very hard to get that «perfect balance» between usability and appearance. I must say that you’ve done a amazing job with this. Additionally, the blog loads super fast for me on Firefox. Exceptional Blog!
This site is my intake, really great style and design and perfect articles.
You have brought up a very wonderful details , appreciate it for the post.
I believe this web site holds some real good information for everyone :D. «We rarely think people have good sense unless they agree with us.» by Francois de La Rochefoucauld.
I do agree with all the ideas you have presented in your post. They are very convincing and will certainly work. Still, the posts are very short for newbies. Could you please extend them a little from next time? Thanks for the post.
This is very interesting, You are a very skilled blogger. I have joined your feed and look forward to seeking more of your wonderful post. Also, I’ve shared your web site in my social networks!
I haven’t checked in here for a while since I thought it was getting boring, but the last few posts are good quality so I guess I will add you back to my daily bloglist. You deserve it my friend 🙂
Aw, this was a very nice post. In idea I wish to put in writing like this moreover – taking time and precise effort to make an excellent article… however what can I say… I procrastinate alot and under no circumstances seem to get something done.
This is very interesting, You are an excessively professional blogger. I’ve joined your rss feed and stay up for seeking extra of your magnificent post. Also, I’ve shared your site in my social networks!
fantastic post, very informative. I wonder why the other specialists of this sector don’t notice this. You should continue your writing. I’m sure, you’ve a huge readers’ base already!
I am forever thought about this, thankyou for posting.
This is very interesting, You are a very skilled blogger. I’ve joined your feed and look forward to seeking more of your great post. Also, I have shared your web site in my social networks!
I am not sure where you’re getting your info, but good topic. I needs to spend some time learning much more or understanding more. Thanks for wonderful information I was looking for this info for my mission.
Hey very nice web site!! Man .. Beautiful .. Amazing .. I’ll bookmark your site and take the feeds also…I am happy to find numerous useful information here in the post, we need work out more techniques in this regard, thanks for sharing. . . . . .
I love the efforts you have put in this, thankyou for all the great content.
What Is Aizen Power? Aizen Power is presented as a distinctive dietary supplement with a singular focus on addressing the root cause of smaller phalluses
What Is Sugar Defender? Sugar Defender is made of natural plant-based ingredients and minerals that support healthy blood sugar levels.
Wow, incredible blog layout! How long have you been blogging for? you made blogging look easy. The overall look of your website is excellent, as well as the content!
Hello very cool web site!! Man .. Beautiful .. Superb .. I’ll bookmark your web site and take the feeds also…I’m glad to seek out numerous helpful information here in the submit, we need work out extra strategies in this regard, thanks for sharing. . . . . .
Thank you for sharing superb informations. Your web site is so cool. I’m impressed by the details that you¦ve on this site. It reveals how nicely you understand this subject. Bookmarked this web page, will come back for extra articles. You, my friend, ROCK! I found just the info I already searched all over the place and simply could not come across. What a great website.
Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wanted to say that I’ve really enjoyed browsing your blog posts. After all I’ll be subscribing to your rss feed and I hope you write again soon!
Good day! This is kind of off topic but I need some guidance from an established blog. Is it very difficult to set up your own blog? I’m not very techincal but I can figure things out pretty quick. I’m thinking about making my own but I’m not sure where to start. Do you have any ideas or suggestions? Cheers
Puravive is a natural weight loss supplement and is said to be quite effective in supporting healthy weight loss.
Hello, Neat post. There’s an issue along with your web site in internet explorer, may test thisK IE nonetheless is the market chief and a huge component of other people will leave out your magnificent writing because of this problem.
I like what you guys are up also. Such intelligent work and reporting! Carry on the excellent works guys I have incorporated you guys to my blogroll. I think it’ll improve the value of my web site :).
Way cool, some valid points! I appreciate you making this article available, the rest of the site is also high quality. Have a fun.
Prodentim: What is it? Some of the finest and highest quality ingredients are used to produce Prodentim, an oral health supplement
The Lottery Defeater software is an innovative program designed to enhance your lottery playing experience. Utilizing cutting-edge algorithms, it s
An interesting discussion is worth comment. I think that you should write more on this topic, it might not be a taboo subject but generally people are not enough to speak on such topics. To the next. Cheers
Your house is valueble for me. Thanks!…
What Is LeanBiome? LeanBiome, a new weight loss solution, includes beneficial strains of gut bacteria that work fast for weight loss.
Its like you read my thoughts! You appear to know a lot approximately this, like you wrote the guide in it or something. I believe that you just can do with a few p.c. to force the message home a little bit, however instead of that, this is great blog. A fantastic read. I’ll definitely be back.
When I originally commented I clicked the «Notify me when new comments are added» checkbox and now each time a comment is added I get several emails with the same comment. Is there any way you can remove people from that service? Thanks a lot!
I’ve been absent for some time, but now I remember why I used to love this site. Thank you, I will try and check back more often. How frequently you update your web site?
Hello my loved one! I want to say that this post is awesome, nice written and include almost all vital infos. I would like to look more posts like this .
I don’t even know how I ended up here, but I thought this post was great. I do not know who you are but certainly you’re going to a famous blogger if you are not already 😉 Cheers!
Thanks , I’ve recently been looking for info about this subject for ages and yours is the greatest I’ve discovered so far. But, what about the bottom line? Are you sure about the source?
Heya i am for the first time here. I found this board and I find It truly useful & it helped me out much. I hope to give something back and help others like you aided me.
I believe you have observed some very interesting points, regards for the post.
It’s in reality a nice and useful piece of information. I’m happy that you just shared this useful information with us. Please stay us informed like this. Thank you for sharing.
Just what I was searching for, appreciate it for posting.
Hey! I know this is kinda off topic but I was wondering which blog platform are you using for this website? I’m getting fed up of WordPress because I’ve had issues with hackers and I’m looking at alternatives for another platform. I would be fantastic if you could point me in the direction of a good platform.
I’m really enjoying the design and layout of your website. It’s a very easy on the eyes which makes it much more enjoyable for me to come here and visit more often. Did you hire out a designer to create your theme? Great work!
certainly like your web-site but you have to test the spelling on quite a few of your posts. A number of them are rife with spelling issues and I find it very troublesome to tell the reality nevertheless I will certainly come back again.
Your home is valueble for me. Thanks!…
Some really nice and utilitarian info on this internet site, likewise I believe the design and style has superb features.
I haven?¦t checked in here for a while because I thought it was getting boring, but the last few posts are great quality so I guess I will add you back to my daily bloglist. You deserve it my friend 🙂
I really like your writing style, excellent information, appreciate it for posting : D.
Good day! I just want to give an enormous thumbs up for the great info you’ve got right here on this post. I can be coming again to your blog for more soon.
Thank you for sharing superb informations. Your website is very cool. I am impressed by the details that you’ve on this blog. It reveals how nicely you understand this subject. Bookmarked this website page, will come back for extra articles. You, my pal, ROCK! I found just the info I already searched all over the place and just couldn’t come across. What an ideal web-site.
I have not checked in here for some time since I thought it was getting boring, but the last several posts are good quality so I guess I will add you back to my daily bloglist. You deserve it my friend 🙂