Una encuesta midió a Javier Milei y José Luis Espert para la presidencial 2023: sorpresa con los datos

No conforman el intangible de esa ancha avenida del medio, ya que tienen posiciones extremas. Pero sí aparecen hoy como la alternativa más viable a colarse en la grieta. Los libertarios de Javier Milei y José Luis Espert irrumpieron como la tercera fuerza mejor posicionada para el 2023, debajo de Juntos por el Cambio y el Frente de Todos. Así lo confirma una nueva encuesta que adelanta Clarín este domingo y que deja datos sorpresa.
El estudio es de CB Consultora Opinión Pública, la firma que mejor pronosticó las legislativas 2021, tanto a nivel nacional como las previas que hubo en algunas provincias. A fines de febrero, hizo un sondeo de 2.080 casos en todo el país. Clarín anticipó dos tramos del trabajo: uno vinculado al oficialismo y otro a la principal coalición opositora.
El informe aborda la disputa presidencial de diferentes maneras. Hace una clásica medición por espacio, pregunta si los pre-candidatos están preparados para asumir el sillón de la Rosada y cuáles son sus pisos y techos electorales.
La última encuesta nacional de CB Consultora Opinión Pública. Cómo está la intención de voto por espacio.
A nivel fuerzas, aparece la primera (quizá ya no tan) sorpresa: los libertarios figuran en tercer lugar, con 9,5%. Si bien no parece un número tan alto, es casi la mitad de lo que obtiene el Frente de Todos (22,5%) y un tercio de Juntos por el Cambio (29,2%). El resto se completa con los indecisos (18,9%), ninguno (11,3%), otro (6,1%) y el Frente de Izquierda (2,7%).
Los números de Milei y Espert
A diferencia de otras encuestas, esta última de CB no los enfrenta en una eventual interna libertaria. En las que sí los pusieron frente a frente, Milei viene sacando claramente mejores números. Y esto de algún modo se refleja también en este sondeo con otros parámetros.
La consultora que dirige el analista Cristian Buttié indagó de arranque sobre la imagen de los dirigentes. Y allí, Milei ya muestra una ventaja: tiene 50,6% de positiva y 35,4% de negativa, contra + 38,2% y – 35,4% de Espert. En ambos casos completa el «ns/nc».
Luego, viene un planteo interesante. Es cuando preguntan si estos referentes nacionales que hoy suenan para el 2023 están preparados para ser presidentes:
La última encuesta nacional de CB Consultora Opinión Pública. Termómetro electoral sobre Javier Milei.
– Milei obtiene un 15,1% de «sí esta preparado», un 31,3% de «aún no, pero tiene tiempo» y 38,6% de «nunca va a estar». El resto no sabe.
– Espert, en tanto, suma 12% de «sí esta preparado», un 25% de «aún no, pero tiene tiempo» y 37,6% de «nunca va a estar». El resto no sabe
La última encuesta nacional de CB Consultora Opinión Pública. Termómetro electoral sobre José Luis Espert.
Y por último viene otro interrogante más clásico, para conformar los pisos y techos electorales de cada uno. Cuánta gente seguro los votaría, cuántos podrían posiblemente hacerlo y quiénes nunca lo harían.
Allí es donde más ventaja obtiene Milei, que queda con números superiores a todos los oficialistas evaluados y apenas debajo de los referentes de Juntos por el Cambio. Un 14,1% dice que «seguro lo votaría» (piso), un 27,7% «podría votarlo» (techo de 41,8%) y un 43% «nunca lo votaría» (rechazo).
En el caso de Espert, un 6,2% dice que «seguro lo votaría» (piso), un 24,4% «podría votarlo» (techo de 30,6%) y un 46% «nunca lo votaría» (rechazo). En ambos casos completa el «ns/nc».
Fuente: Clarin.com
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